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EF
Consensus PnL $35K · win rate 55% (938–766, n=1704) · was PM monthly #980 · holds 5 consensus positions
0xef104cc7...08190b43Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$34.9K
Record
938W / 766L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 1704 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1443
Source
PM monthly #980
Trades
37
Markets
1,816
Volume
$872.4K
Top consensus positions
5 in listed consensus markets · 5 of 5 on the consensus side (100%)- Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?No $7.4K · now 96¢ · in at 83¢with the consensus (60% of 5)
- Will XRP hit $2 by December 31, 2026?No $5.8K · now 88¢ · in at 59¢with the consensus (86% of 7)
- Will XRP reach $3.00 by December 31, 2026?No $2.1K · now 97¢ · in at 80¢with the consensus (80% of 5)
- Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?No $261 · now 95¢ · in at 75¢with the consensus (88% of 8)
- Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026?No $224 · now 97¢ · in at 85¢with the consensus (88% of 8)
Specialties
550 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 52¢- Crypto
+45 pts
side won 97% of 550 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +37%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 50% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 98% of 124)
- 50–70¢: 70%(won 97% of 385)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 100% of 31)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.