Consensus PnL $158K · win rate 61% (1816–1140, n=2956) · PM monthly #307 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$158.3K
Record
1816W / 1140L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 2956 settled
Batting Avg
60.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1103
Source
PM monthly #307
Trades
2,359
Markets
5,582
Volume
$7.6M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Swiss Indoors Basel: Jiri Lehecka vs Valentin VacherotJiri Lehecka $108 · now 28¢ · in at 62¢against the consensus (Valentin Vacherot)
Specialties
1,137 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 69¢- Tennis
+28 pts
side won 98% of 1137 · avg entry 69¢
ROI +21%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 84% of 68)
- 30–50¢: 13%(won 93% of 147)
- 50–70¢: 23%(won 98% of 266)
- 70¢ and up: 58%(won 100% of 656)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.