Consensus PnL -$45K · win rate 48% (258–277, n=535) · PM monthly #464 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-45.1K
Record
258W / 277L
Win Rate
48.0%
of 535 settled
Batting Avg
80.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2047
Source
PM monthly #464
Record (90 d)
51/135 · 38%
Trades
314
Markets
639
Volume
$2.2M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Paine Lions vs. Jacksonville DolphinsPaine Lions $1.0K · now 49¢against the consensus (Jacksonville Dolphins)
Specialties
520 settled consensus markets · held side won 46% at an average entry of 47¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where fydi's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Other Sports — held side won 23% of 44 at an average 37¢ entry (−14 pts against the price), ROI −25%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 31%(won 17% of 161)
- 30–50¢: 18%(won 38% of 94)
- 50–70¢: 31%(won 58% of 161)
- 70¢ and up: 20%(won 81% of 104)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.