Consensus PnL $216K · win rate 60% (3–2, n=5) · PM monthly #98 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$216.2K
Record
3W / 2L
Win Rate
60.0%
of 5 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1190
Source
PM monthly #98
Trades
6
Markets
6
Volume
$36.6K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?No $7.7K · now 16¢ · in at 18¢against the consensus (Yes)
Specialties
3 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 35¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where fzol's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 67%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 33%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.