Consensus PnL $68K · win rate 45% (1775–2182, n=3957) · PM monthly #965 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$68.0K
Record
1775W / 2182L
Win Rate
45.0%
of 3957 settled
Batting Avg
56.8%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1972
Source
PM monthly #965
Trades
1,939
Markets
34,014
Volume
$16.0M
Specialties
1,197 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 74¢- Crypto
+25 pts
side won 100% of 1197 · avg entry 74¢
ROI +24%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 100% of 39)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 100% of 88)
- 50–70¢: 17%(won 98% of 198)
- 70¢ and up: 73%(won 100% of 872)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.