Consensus PnL $143K · win rate 65% (3199–1705, n=4904) · was PM monthly #458 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$143.2K
Record
3199W / 1705L
Win Rate
65.0%
of 4904 settled
Batting Avg
62.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#922
Source
PM monthly #458
Record (90 d)
974/1512 · 64%
Trades
2,459
Markets
5,713
Volume
$3.2M
Specialties
3,186 settled consensus markets · held side won 73% at an average entry of 67¢- Soccer
+6 pts
side won 73% of 3180 · avg entry 67¢
ROI +3%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 25% of 330)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 45% of 485)
- 50–70¢: 18%(won 73% of 589)
- 70¢ and up: 56%(won 90% of 1782)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.