Consensus PnL $422K · win rate 76% (56–18, n=74) · PM monthly #15 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$422.1K
Record
56W / 18L
Win Rate
76.0%
of 74 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#585
Source
PM monthly #15
Record (90 d)
55/66 · 83%
Trades
321
Markets
76
Volume
$18.3M
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Specialties
66 settled consensus markets · held side won 83% at an average entry of 54¢- NBA
+31 pts
side won 83% of 59 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +32%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 70% of 10)
- 50–70¢: 77%(won 84% of 51)
- 70¢ and up: 8%(won 100% of 5)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.