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49

gregbeast

Consensus PnL $85K · win rate 40% (177–265, n=442) · was PM monthly #924 · no open consensus position

0x4980930d...a42e5709Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$85.4K

Record

177W / 265L

Win Rate

40.0%

of 442 settled

Batting Avg

100.0%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#2096

Source

PM monthly #924

Trades

883

Markets

455

Volume

$724.8K

Specialties

189 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 39¢
  • Esports

    +59 pts

    side won 98% of 177 · avg entry 40¢

    ROI +54%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 26%(won 94% of 50)
  • 30–50¢: 50%(won 98% of 95)
  • 50–70¢: 22%(won 100% of 42)
  • 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 2)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.