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4A
Consensus PnL $77K · win rate 77% (244–72, n=316) · was PM monthly #872 · no open consensus position
0x4aec7002...b09a4ce9Polymarket
⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$77.3K
Record
244W / 72L
Win Rate
77.0%
of 316 settled
Batting Avg
40.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#518
Source
PM monthly #872
Trades
1,430
Markets
766
Volume
$8.7M
Specialties
309 settled consensus markets · held side won 79% at an average entry of 72¢- Esports
+7 pts
side won 81% of 304 · avg entry 73¢
ROI +2%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 6%(won 11% of 19)
- 30–50¢: 7%(won 27% of 22)
- 50–70¢: 19%(won 67% of 58)
- 70¢ and up: 68%(won 94% of 210)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.