Consensus PnL $132K · win rate 63% (90–53, n=143) · PM monthly #157 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$131.5K
Record
90W / 53L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 143 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1022
Source
PM monthly #157
Trades
498
Markets
147
Volume
$632.4K
Specialties
104 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 49¢- NBA
+41 pts
side won 90% of 50 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +48%
- Soccer
+33 pts
side won 81% of 54 · avg entry 49¢
ROI +35%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 52%(won 83% of 54)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 90% of 49)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.