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4C
Consensus PnL $22K · win rate 35% (18–33, n=51) · was PM monthly #958 · holds 1 consensus position
0x4c375c37...dbc80631Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$21.7K
Record
18W / 33L
Win Rate
35.0%
of 51 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2157
Source
PM monthly #958
Trades
21
Markets
57
Volume
$438.9K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?No $60K · now 90¢ · in at 50¢with the consensus (65% of 37)
Specialties
49 settled consensus markets · held side won 43% at an average entry of 47¢- Soccer
+2 pts
side won 53% of 32 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +5%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 20%(won 0% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 27%(won 31% of 13)
- 50–70¢: 47%(won 61% of 23)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.