Consensus PnL $26K · win rate 100% (1–0, n=1) · PM monthly #238 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$26.4K
Record
1W / 0L
Win Rate
100.0%
of 1 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#60
Source
PM monthly #238
Trades
1
Markets
2
Volume
$45.9K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?No $95K · now 99¢ · in at 33¢with the consensus (37% of 27)
Specialties
1 settled consensus market · held side won 100% at an average entry of 33¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where izcikagamoji's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 100%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.