Consensus PnL $9.2K · win rate 44% (45–58, n=103) · PM monthly #631 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$9.2K
Record
45W / 58L
Win Rate
44.0%
of 103 settled
Batting Avg
17.6%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2340
Source
PM monthly #631
Record (90 d)
45/101 · 45%
Trades
220
Markets
107
Volume
$340.5K
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Specialties
100 settled consensus markets · held side won 45% at an average entry of 48¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where jeremyclar's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: NBA — held side won 48% of 54 at an average 50¢ entry (−1 pts against the price), ROI +2%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 0% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 69%(won 39% of 69)
- 50–70¢: 19%(won 47% of 19)
- 70¢ and up: 10%(won 90% of 10)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.