
Consensus PnL $33K · win rate 85% (22–4, n=26) · PM monthly #670 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$33.3K
Record
22W / 4L
Win Rate
85.0%
of 26 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#254
Source
PM monthly #670
Record (90 d)
22/23 · 96%
Trades
2
Markets
27
Volume
$119.7K
Loading this trader’s full history
Large accounts take up to ~20 s
Loading positions and trades…
Specialties
22 settled consensus markets · held side won 95% at an average entry of 60¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where jodar's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 36%(won 88% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 27%(won 100% of 6)
- 70¢ and up: 36%(won 100% of 8)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.