Consensus PnL $1.4M · win rate 59% (5012–3415, n=8427) · PM monthly #124 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$1.4M
Record
5012W / 3415L
Win Rate
59.0%
of 8427 settled
Batting Avg
80.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1202
Source
PM monthly #124
Trades
1,686
Markets
21,261
Volume
$24.8M
Specialties
3,467 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 60¢- Esports
+61 pts
side won 100% of 54 · avg entry 39¢
ROI +63%
- NBA
+45 pts
side won 100% of 505 · avg entry 55¢
ROI +42%
- Other Sports
+46 pts
side won 100% of 176 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +45%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 100% of 152)
- 30–50¢: 24%(won 100% of 833)
- 50–70¢: 42%(won 100% of 1457)
- 70¢ and up: 30%(won 100% of 1025)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.