Consensus PnL $49K · win rate 86% (6–1, n=7) · was PM monthly #917 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$48.8K
Record
6W / 1L
Win Rate
86.0%
of 7 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#331
Source
PM monthly #917
Trades
40
Markets
10
Volume
$89.0K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?Yes $5.8K · now 65¢ · in at 60¢with the consensus (94% of 18)
Specialties
7 settled consensus markets · held side won 86% at an average entry of 53¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where justtryingtosurvive's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 14%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 29%(won 100% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 29%(won 100% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 29%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.