Consensus PnL $4.5K · win rate 57% (52–39, n=91) · was PM monthly #977 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$4.5K
Record
52W / 39L
Win Rate
57.0%
of 91 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1402
Source
PM monthly #977
Record (90 d)
226/281 · 80%
Trades
2
Markets
92
Volume
$38.9K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Bears vs. Seahawks: O/U 46.5Under $5 · now 52¢ · in at 2¢against the consensus (Over)
Specialties
59 settled consensus markets · held side won 68% at an average entry of 66¢- NFL
+6 pts
side won 8% of 12 · avg entry 2¢
ROI +97%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 34%(won 15% of 20)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 66%(won 95% of 39)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.