Consensus PnL $87K · win rate 83% (5–1, n=6) · was PM monthly #386 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$86.7K
Record
5W / 1L
Win Rate
83.0%
of 6 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#286
Source
PM monthly #386
Record (90 d)
3/3 · 100%
Trades
33
Markets
6
Volume
$232.7K
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Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Game Handicap: T1 (-2.5) vs Karmine Corp (+2.5)T1 $9.9K · now 35¢ · in at 36¢against the consensus (Karmine Corp)
Specialties
3 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 59¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where kjhgkltivtvriur's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 33%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 67%(won 100% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.