Consensus PnL $647K · win rate 63% (526–306, n=832) · was PM monthly #942 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$647.4K
Record
526W / 306L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 832 settled
Batting Avg
66.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1009
Source
PM monthly #942
Trades
1,072
Markets
1,071
Volume
$2.0M
Specialties
582 settled consensus markets · held side won 98% at an average entry of 50¢- Soccer
+49 pts
side won 98% of 393 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +49%
- NBA
+49 pts
side won 99% of 187 · avg entry 50¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 54%(won 98% of 312)
- 50–70¢: 46%(won 99% of 266)
- 70¢ and up: 1%(won 100% of 4)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.