Consensus PnL $13K · win rate 63% (1695–1013, n=2708) · was PM monthly #983 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$13.3K
Record
1695W / 1013L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 2708 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1017
Source
PM monthly #983
Record (90 d)
586/871 · 67%
Trades
813
Markets
3,055
Volume
$700.9K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Al Nassr Club win on 2026-10-26?Yes $215 · now 60¢ · in at 80¢with the consensus (88% of 9)
Specialties
2,557 settled consensus markets · held side won 65% at an average entry of 65¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where kleomarcus's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Other Sports — held side won 63% of 79 at an average 66¢ entry (−3 pts against the price), ROI −7%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 5%(won 25% of 120)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 41% of 375)
- 50–70¢: 37%(won 60% of 939)
- 70¢ and up: 44%(won 81% of 1123)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.