Consensus PnL -$401K · win rate 33% (10–20, n=30) · PM monthly #872 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-400.7K
Record
10W / 20L
Win Rate
33.0%
of 30 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1582
Source
PM monthly #872
Record (90 d)
10/10 · 100%
Trades
64
Markets
30
Volume
$1.3M
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Specialties
10 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 52¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where lalalalalalallalalalala's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 30%(won 100% of 3)
- 50–70¢: 70%(won 100% of 7)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.