Consensus PnL $7.5K · win rate 74% (141–49, n=190) · was PM monthly #870 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$7.5K
Record
141W / 49L
Win Rate
74.0%
of 190 settled
Batting Avg
33.3%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#603
Source
PM monthly #870
Trades
118
Markets
240
Volume
$1.1M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Los Angeles FC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 4.5Under $2.5K · now 66¢ · in at 66¢with the consensus (56% of 12)
Specialties
161 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 76¢- Tennis
+19 pts
side won 93% of 45 · avg entry 75¢
ROI +13%
- Soccer
+14 pts
side won 90% of 113 · avg entry 77¢
ROI +9%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 2%(won 50% of 4)
- 30–50¢: 5%(won 25% of 8)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 90% of 40)
- 70¢ and up: 68%(won 98% of 109)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.