Consensus PnL $53K · win rate 63% (5–3, n=8) · PM monthly #267 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$53.5K
Record
5W / 3L
Win Rate
63.0%
of 8 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1050
Source
PM monthly #267
Trades
33
Markets
11
Volume
$234.0K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes $320 · now 6¢ · in at 2¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
6 settled consensus markets · held side won 67% at an average entry of 55¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where liriovertis's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 17%(won 0% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 50%(won 100% of 3)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.