Consensus PnL -$22K · win rate 49% (27–28, n=55) · was PM monthly #967 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-21.9K
Record
27W / 28L
Win Rate
49.0%
of 55 settled
Batting Avg
—
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1299
Source
PM monthly #967
Record (90 d)
20/20 · 100%
Trades
45
Markets
56
Volume
$144.4K
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Specialties
20 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 51¢- NBA
+49 pts
side won 100% of 20 · avg entry 51¢
ROI +50%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 35%(won 100% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 65%(won 100% of 13)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.