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maytopmay

Consensus PnL $73K · win rate 64% (283–158, n=441) · was PM monthly #767 · no open consensus position

0x6ed3695f...3add186cPolymarket
🎰Degen

Consensus PnL

$73.3K

Record

283W / 158L

Win Rate

64.0%

of 441 settled

Batting Avg

0.0%

Status

Profitable

Win-rate rank

#978

Source

PM monthly #767

Trades

20

Markets

453

Volume

$569.7K

Specialties

276 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 64¢
  • Esports

    +34 pts

    side won 97% of 270 · avg entry 64¢

    ROI +35%

Entry prices (share of settled markets)

  • under 30¢: 3%(won 50% of 8)
  • 30–50¢: 18%(won 96% of 50)
  • 50–70¢: 41%(won 97% of 112)
  • 70¢ and up: 38%(won 100% of 106)

Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.