Consensus PnL $268K · win rate 55% (6–5, n=11) · PM monthly #178 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$268.2K
Record
6W / 5L
Win Rate
55.0%
of 11 settled
Batting Avg
57.1%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1473
Source
PM monthly #178
Trades
729
Markets
477
Volume
$18.1M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs ZimbabweAfghanistan $43K · now 99¢ · in at 70¢with the consensus (88% of 8)
Specialties
4 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 61¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where midwicket72's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 25%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 50%(won 100% of 2)
- 70¢ and up: 25%(won 100% of 1)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.