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09
Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 54% (521–447, n=968) · was PM monthly #1000 · holds 1 consensus position
0x09af203b...1f209728Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$25.1K
Record
521W / 447L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 968 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1500
Source
PM monthly #1000
Trades
172
Markets
978
Volume
$1.1M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 1 on the consensus side (0%)- Will Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?Yes $123 · now 8¢ · in at 7¢against the consensus (No)
Specialties
545 settled consensus markets · held side won 97% at an average entry of 53¢- MLB
+44 pts
side won 97% of 543 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +42%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 100% of 1)
- 30–50¢: 33%(won 96% of 178)
- 50–70¢: 65%(won 97% of 356)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 100% of 10)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.