Consensus PnL $472K · win rate 54% (26831–22920, n=49751) · PM monthly #242 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$471.7K
Record
26831W / 22920L
Win Rate
54.0%
of 49751 settled
Batting Avg
56.4%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1477
Source
PM monthly #242
Trades
739
Markets
92,322
Volume
$13.5M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Ethereum Up or Down on November 1?Up $49 · now 100¢ · in at 77¢with the consensus (75% of 8)
Specialties
34,513 settled consensus markets · held side won 73% at an average entry of 54¢- Crypto
+19 pts
side won 73% of 34508 · avg entry 54¢
ROI +23%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 27%(won 19% of 9154)
- 30–50¢: 14%(won 73% of 4866)
- 50–70¢: 22%(won 94% of 7485)
- 70¢ and up: 38%(won 99% of 13008)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.