Consensus PnL $25K · win rate 65% (82–44, n=126) · was PM monthly #858 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$25.2K
Record
82W / 44L
Win Rate
65.0%
of 126 settled
Batting Avg
45.7%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#942
Source
PM monthly #858
Trades
728
Markets
344
Volume
$2.1M
Specialties
123 settled consensus markets · held side won 89% at an average entry of 81¢- Soccer
+14 pts
side won 94% of 34 · avg entry 80¢
ROI +2%
- Golf
+7 pts
side won 100% of 28 · avg entry 93¢
ROI +1%
- Tennis
+7 pts
side won 94% of 36 · avg entry 88¢
ROI +4%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 9%(won 0% of 11)
- 30–50¢: 2%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 8%(won 90% of 10)
- 70¢ and up: 81%(won 100% of 100)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.