Consensus PnL $53K · win rate 65% (244–132, n=376) · PM monthly #491 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$53.3K
Record
244W / 132L
Win Rate
65.0%
of 376 settled
Batting Avg
50.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#939
Source
PM monthly #491
Record (90 d)
291/384 · 76%
Trades
30
Markets
556
Volume
$1.4M
Specialties
375 settled consensus markets · held side won 76% at an average entry of 66¢- Esports
+10 pts
side won 76% of 375 · avg entry 66¢
ROI +9%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 11%(won 10% of 40)
- 30–50¢: 11%(won 45% of 40)
- 50–70¢: 25%(won 73% of 94)
- 70¢ and up: 54%(won 96% of 201)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.