Consensus PnL -$34K · win rate 46% (404–473, n=877) · was PM monthly #989 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-33.6K
Record
404W / 473L
Win Rate
46.0%
of 877 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#1950
Source
PM monthly #989
Trades
132
Markets
900
Volume
$441.8K
Specialties
430 settled consensus markets · held side won 91% at an average entry of 48¢- Esports
+43 pts
side won 91% of 425 · avg entry 47¢
ROI +35%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 13%(won 70% of 56)
- 30–50¢: 41%(won 90% of 175)
- 50–70¢: 40%(won 97% of 172)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 100% of 27)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.