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8F
Consensus PnL $34K · win rate 62% (21–13, n=34) · was PM monthly #881 · holds 1 consensus position
0x8f2f8a33...0cffc8b9Polymarket
🔄Contrarian🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$34.1K
Record
21W / 13L
Win Rate
62.0%
of 34 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1094
Source
PM monthly #881
Trades
45
Markets
39
Volume
$266.8K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Titans vs. BengalsTitans $1.2K · now 13¢ · in at 16¢with the consensus (27% of 12)
Specialties
25 settled consensus markets · held side won 80% at an average entry of 70¢- NFL
+10 pts
side won 81% of 16 · avg entry 71¢
ROI +14%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 12%(won 67% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 16%(won 25% of 4)
- 50–70¢: 16%(won 100% of 4)
- 70¢ and up: 56%(won 93% of 14)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.