Consensus PnL -$74K · win rate 64% (48–27, n=75) · was PM monthly #573 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-74.4K
Record
48W / 27L
Win Rate
64.0%
of 75 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#998
Source
PM monthly #573
Record (90 d)
49/51 · 96%
Trades
19
Markets
79
Volume
$2.5M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Beijing Group BTYLOO $18K · now 61¢ · in at 35¢with the consensus (39% of 54)
Specialties
51 settled consensus markets · held side won 96% at an average entry of 56¢- Esports
+42 pts
side won 98% of 44 · avg entry 56¢
ROI +38%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 100% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 31%(won 88% of 16)
- 50–70¢: 49%(won 100% of 25)
- 70¢ and up: 16%(won 100% of 8)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.