Consensus PnL $14K · win rate 61% (14520–9123, n=23643) · was PM monthly #981 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$13.9K
Record
14520W / 9123L
Win Rate
61.0%
of 23643 settled
Batting Avg
21.2%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1098
Source
PM monthly #981
Trades
2,785
Markets
38,992
Volume
$4.8M
Specialties
7,374 settled consensus markets · held side won 84% at an average entry of 53¢- Crypto
+32 pts
side won 84% of 7374 · avg entry 53¢
ROI +23%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 4%(won 13% of 307)
- 30–50¢: 23%(won 82% of 1661)
- 50–70¢: 69%(won 89% of 5100)
- 70¢ and up: 4%(won 97% of 306)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.