Consensus PnL $3.2K · win rate 50% (1–1, n=2) · was PM monthly #816 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$3.2K
Record
1W / 1L
Win Rate
50.0%
of 2 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#1819
Source
PM monthly #816
Trades
7
Markets
3
Volume
$108.1K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No $133K · now 98¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (85% of 41)
Specialties
2 settled consensus markets · held side won 50% at an average entry of 87¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where sheen07's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 0%
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 100%(won 50% of 2)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.