Consensus PnL $81K · win rate 73% (2356–892, n=3248) · was PM monthly #997 · holds 2 consensus positions
Consensus PnL
$81.2K
Record
2356W / 892L
Win Rate
73.0%
of 3248 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#618
Source
PM monthly #997
Trades
1,407
Markets
43,700
Volume
$13.3M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 0 of 2 on the consensus side (0%)- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETUp $19 · now 50¢ · in at 78¢against the consensus (Down)
- Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETUp $12 · now 0¢ · in at 53¢against the consensus (Down)
Specialties
866 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 75¢- Crypto
+25 pts
side won 100% of 866 · avg entry 75¢
ROI +24%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 100% of 3)
- 30–50¢: 3%(won 100% of 28)
- 50–70¢: 21%(won 100% of 185)
- 70¢ and up: 75%(won 100% of 650)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.