Consensus PnL $35K · win rate 88% (8027–1133, n=9160) · was PM monthly #985 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$34.5K
Record
8027W / 1133L
Win Rate
88.0%
of 9160 settled
Batting Avg
57.5%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#263
Source
PM monthly #985
Trades
3,015
Markets
82,702
Volume
$15.4M
Specialties
21,188 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 52¢- Crypto
+47 pts
side won 100% of 21188 · avg entry 52¢
ROI +44%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%(won 41% of 70)
- 30–50¢: 12%(won 99% of 2473)
- 50–70¢: 86%(won 100% of 18261)
- 70¢ and up: 2%(won 96% of 384)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.