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3A
Consensus PnL $12K · win rate 87% (13–2, n=15) · was PM monthly #998 · holds 2 consensus positions
0x3a135a81...3e977ea6Polymarket
🎯Sharp
Consensus PnL
$12.4K
Record
13W / 2L
Win Rate
87.0%
of 15 settled
Batting Avg
100.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#306
Source
PM monthly #998
Trades
9
Markets
19
Volume
$225.0K
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 2 of 2 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?No $15K · now 97¢ · in at 93¢with the consensus (94% of 18)
- Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?No $4.5K · now 98¢ · in at 88¢with the consensus (88% of 16)
Specialties
17 settled consensus markets · held side won 94% at an average entry of 85¢- Crypto
+12 pts
side won 100% of 11 · avg entry 88¢
ROI +11%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 0% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 0%
- 70¢ and up: 94%(won 100% of 16)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.