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FC
Consensus PnL $19K · win rate 77% (177–53, n=230) · PM monthly #287 · holds 2 consensus positions
0xfc23869c...5b3c2f5ePolymarket
⚖️Arb🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$19.2K
Record
177W / 53L
Win Rate
77.0%
of 230 settled
Batting Avg
48.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#523
Source
PM monthly #287
Trades
1,006
Markets
1,652
Volume
$2.4M
Top consensus positions
2 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 2 on the consensus side (50%)- Counter-Strike: WBT Academy vs Iberian Soul - Map 2 WinnerWBT Academy $252 · now 63¢ · in at 46¢against the consensus (Iberian Soul)
- Counter-Strike: Acend vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerAcend $111 · now 100¢ · in at 84¢with the consensus (50% of 7)
Specialties
178 settled consensus markets · held side won 88% at an average entry of 73¢- Esports
+14 pts
side won 88% of 178 · avg entry 73¢
ROI +6%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 10%(won 22% of 18)
- 30–50¢: 6%(won 55% of 11)
- 50–70¢: 19%(won 91% of 33)
- 70¢ and up: 65%(won 100% of 116)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.