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D6
Consensus PnL -$146K · win rate 71% (29–12, n=41) · PM monthly #412 · holds 1 consensus position
0xd60419ae...f9a9bc8aPolymarket
🐋Whale🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$-145.7K
Record
29W / 12L
Win Rate
71.0%
of 41 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#717
Source
PM monthly #412
Trades
21
Markets
43
Volume
$3.2M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes $38K · now 71¢ · in at 91¢with the consensus (86% of 51)
Specialties
29 settled consensus markets · held side won 100% at an average entry of 81¢- Soccer
+18 pts
side won 100% of 25 · avg entry 82¢
ROI +20%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 0%
- 30–50¢: 3%(won 100% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 24%(won 100% of 7)
- 70¢ and up: 72%(won 100% of 21)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.