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Consensus PnL $3.1K · win rate 91% (71–7, n=78) · PM monthly #162 · holds 1 consensus position
0xad494094...1541c53ePolymarket
🔄Contrarian🎯Sharp🎰Degen
Consensus PnL
$3.1K
Record
71W / 7L
Win Rate
91.0%
of 78 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#226
Source
PM monthly #162
Trades
103
Markets
80
Volume
$4.1M
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Real Racing Club vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Over $46K · now 100¢ · in at 96¢with the consensus (58% of 16)
Specialties
77 settled consensus markets · held side won 92% at an average entry of 89¢- Soccer
+3 pts
side won 92% of 76 · avg entry 89¢
ROI +1%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 3%(won 50% of 2)
- 30–50¢: 1%(won 0% of 1)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 95%(won 95% of 73)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.