Consensus PnL $51K · win rate 30% (74–170, n=244) · was PM monthly #934 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$50.5K
Record
74W / 170L
Win Rate
30.0%
of 244 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#2638
Source
PM monthly #934
Record (90 d)
93/98 · 95%
Trades
173
Markets
276
Volume
$299.9K
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Specialties
97 settled consensus markets · held side won 95% at an average entry of 42¢- Tennis
+53 pts
side won 94% of 90 · avg entry 41¢
ROI +56%
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 29%(won 100% of 28)
- 30–50¢: 39%(won 95% of 38)
- 50–70¢: 26%(won 88% of 25)
- 70¢ and up: 6%(won 100% of 6)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.