Consensus PnL -$619K · win rate 29% (2–5, n=7) · was PM monthly #652 · holds 1 consensus position
Consensus PnL
$-618.6K
Record
2W / 5L
Win Rate
29.0%
of 7 settled
Batting Avg
0.0%
Status
Unprofitable
Win-rate rank
#2210
Source
PM monthly #652
Trades
88
Markets
17
Volume
$710.0K
Top consensus positions
1 in listed consensus markets · 1 of 1 on the consensus side (100%)- Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?No $25K · now 88¢ · in at 65¢with the consensus (25% of 12)
Specialties
13 settled consensus markets · held side won 15% at an average entry of 21¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where vsdiz1337's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 77%(won 0% of 10)
- 30–50¢: 15%(won 50% of 2)
- 50–70¢: 8%(won 100% of 1)
- 70¢ and up: 0%
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.