Consensus PnL $147K · win rate 94% (921–64, n=985) · PM monthly #425 · no open consensus position
Consensus PnL
$147.3K
Record
921W / 64L
Win Rate
94.0%
of 985 settled
Batting Avg
73.9%
Status
Profitable
Win-rate rank
#139
Source
PM monthly #425
Record (90 d)
88/90 · 98%
Trades
1,444
Markets
1,360
Volume
$14.3M
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Specialties
934 settled consensus markets · held side won 95% at an average entry of 96¢No topic with 10 or more settled markets where winner877's side won clearly (2 points or more) more often than its price implied.
Weakest: Other Sports — held side won 88% of 16 at an average 98¢ entry (−10 pts against the price), ROI −10%.
Entry prices (share of settled markets)
- under 30¢: 1%(won 14% of 7)
- 30–50¢: 1%(won 29% of 7)
- 50–70¢: 1%(won 78% of 9)
- 70¢ and up: 98%(won 97% of 911)
Ranked by how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied, on the low end of a 95% interval, so a short run of luck does not rank first; topics need 10+ settled markets. These records run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Consensus markets only, positions of $50 or more, hedged markets left out. Updated every few hours.