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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 4PM ET
Resolved Down. 44% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
9
Up 44%
Total Value
$2.8K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 9 top traders (44%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x3b3de6a6...c95714
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-november-1-2026-4pm-et