Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 3PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Up 50%
$1.7K
-$402.45
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%4 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HS Hsilverbasher | Upavg 48.5¢ | $569.22 | $845.21 | +$275.99 | 12% 18333-133022 (151355) |
PE peepeepoopoo24 | Upavg 56.8¢ | $679.82 | $838.14 | +$158.32 | 57% 6774-5011 (11785) |
 Polkadot-FrogCTR | Downavg 19.9¢ | $439.94 | — | -$439.94 | 64% 58919-33476 (92395) |
DE devonpoll<$100 | Upavg 38¢ | $5.85 | $15.39 | +$9.54 | 51% 20379-19466 (39845) |
AN Anon455CTR | Downavg 57.4¢ | $369.95 | — | -$369.95 | 55% 3029-2464 (5493) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $3 | $6 | +$3 | 58% 38519-27590 (66109) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 39.1¢ | $25.42 | — | -$25.42 | 51% 8427-7946 (16373) |
FI fiankeeCTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $14 | — | -$14 | 56% 1018-808 (1826) |
Invested
$569.22
Value
$845.21
PnL
+$275.99
Record
12%
18333-133022 (151355)
Invested
$679.82
Value
$838.14
PnL
+$158.32
Record
57%
6774-5011 (11785)
Polkadot-FrogCTRInvested
$439.94
Value
—
PnL
-$439.94
Record
64%
58919-33476 (92395)
Invested
$5.85
Value
$15.39
PnL
+$9.54
Record
51%
20379-19466 (39845)
Invested
$369.95
Value
—
PnL
-$369.95
Record
55%
3029-2464 (5493)
Invested
$3
Value
$6
PnL
+$3
Record
58%
38519-27590 (66109)
Invested
$25.42
Value
—
PnL
-$25.42
Record
51%
8427-7946 (16373)
Invested
$14
Value
—
PnL
-$14
Record
56%
1018-808 (1826)