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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9AM ET
Resolved Up. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
11
Down 55%
Total Value
$3.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
6 of 11 top traders (55%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x50a160be...e49156
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-november-1-2026-9am-et