Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 12PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Down 83%
1 arb excluded
$1.0K
$169.9
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609 | Downavg 71.8¢ | $438.66 | $464.75 | +$26.09 | 67% 99930-48308 (148238) |
AN Anon455 | Downavg 64.3¢ | $188.6 | $293.38 | +$104.78 | 55% 3014-2443 (5457) |
PE peepeepoopoo24ARB<$100 | Upavg 42.2¢ | $178.42 | $50.56 | -$127.86 | 57% 6774-5010 (11784) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 42.2¢ | $152.98 | — | -$152.98 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 50.3¢ | $25.44 | $50.56 | +$25.12 | |
HS Hsilverbasher | Downavg 55.3¢ | $65.09 | $117.75 | +$52.66 | 12% 18332-133022 (151354) |
 Polkadot-Frog<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $88.94 | $69.72 | -$19.22 | 64% 58907-33468 (92375) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 52.4¢ | $28.3 | $52.36 | +$24.07 | 51% 8411-7930 (16341) |
AL almachCTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $18.48 | — | -$18.48 | 55% 48791-40333 (89124) |
Invested
$438.66
Value
$464.75
PnL
+$26.09
Record
67%
99930-48308 (148238)
Invested
$188.6
Value
$293.38
PnL
+$104.78
Record
55%
3014-2443 (5457)
Invested
$178.42
Value
$50.56
PnL
-$127.86
Record
57%
6774-5010 (11784)
Both legs:
Invested
$65.09
Value
$117.75
PnL
+$52.66
Record
12%
18332-133022 (151354)
Polkadot-Frog<$100Invested
$88.94
Value
$69.72
PnL
-$19.22
Record
64%
58907-33468 (92375)
Invested
$28.3
Value
$52.36
PnL
+$24.07
Record
51%
8411-7930 (16341)
Invested
$18.48
Value
—
PnL
-$18.48
Record
55%
48791-40333 (89124)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.