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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3PM ET
Resolved Up. 69% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
13
Down 69%
Total Value
$580.19
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Down
9 of 13 top traders (69%)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x95c84ab3...75894b
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-30-2026-3pm-et