Back to Markets
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
10
Up 50%
Total Value
$1.9K
Combined PnL
$0
Smart Money Signal
Up
5 of 10 top traders (50%)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Chat
Market Info
Condition ID
0x95e7cc9d...e9bc0f
Slug
bitcoin-up-or-down-october-30-2026-4pm-et